Another important question. How to make a collective decision. Single people and
small committees miss information that other group members might have relevant
to the choice. Votes and large committees/working groups suck and are very heavy
weight. How should decisions be made.
I've got some feelin...(read more)
(decision theory quality * tightness of feedback loops)/proxy divergence = winning
In terms of community modification/formation, I wonder whether people in our
cluster are too eager to form new communities from scratch and too reticent to
modify existing communities. If this view is correct, it might be best to
optimize for finding a community that scores well according to non-mal...(read more)
My forecast of the net effects of "ethical" discussion is negative; I expect it
to be a cheap, easy, attention-grabbing distraction from technical issues and
technical thoughts that actually determine okay outcomes.
Has the net effect of global poverty discussion been negative for the x-risk
Can you explain why the American revolution was a conservative revolution?
in the process of destroying its own attention
Do people have thoughts on whether this is a good thing or a bad thing? I wrote
some software that seems to have solved this problem for me, and I'd be
interested to know if pe...(read more)
For what it's worth I found the "re-implement backprop" to be extremely useful
in developing a gears-level model of what was going on under the hood.
Andre Karpathy's "A Hacker's Guide to Neural Networks" is really good, and I
think focuses on getting a good intuitive understanding of what's going ...(read more)
My first stab at it (will be doing over the weekend). Collect a big list of
drama and -storms, and look for commonalities or overarching patterns, in either
the failure modes, or in the list of what could have been done to prevent them
ahead of time. There are lots of different group failure modes, ...(read more)
Very grateful for this post, and commit to responding in more detail on Saturday
I think the conflation is "decades out" and "far away".
There are many ways to then conclude that AGI is far away where far away means
decades out. Not that decades out is all that far away. Eliezer conflating the
two should freak you out. AGI reliably forty years away would be quite the fire
I don't think I understand this point. Is the conflati...(read more)