LESSWRONG

As I have studied scientific inference over the past decade, there is one major class of problems that frustrates me the most. It's what I t

[Epistemic Status: Highly speculative/experimental. Playing around with ideas on rationality. Extremely interested in input, criticism, or o

A couple months ago I read a post on facebook about how perhaps more young female virgins should sell their virginity, if they receive a lot

This is a linkpost for http://web.maths.unsw.edu.au/~jim/wrongthoughts.html

I'm growing increasingly convinced the unfortunate correlations between types of people and types of arguments leads to persistent biases in

Nassim Taleb recently posted this mathematical draft of election forecasting refinement to his Twitter. The math isn’t super important to s