LESSWRONG

Many LW readers choose to direct their charitable donations to SingInst with a view toward reducing existential risk. Others do not, whether

Announcing GiveWell Labs We’re now launching a new initiative within GiveWell that will not be subject to either of these constraints. We

Last month I was involved in a conversation thread about what the impact of a hypothetical nuclear war would be on existential risk. There

From Risk Analysis of Nuclear Deterrence by Martin Hellman. See also http://nuclearrisk.org/ A full-scale nuclear war is not the only thr

Points in this article emerged from a conversation with Anna Salamon I think that thinking about decimal expansions of real numbers provid

Edit: Carl Shulman made some remarks that have caused me to seriously question the soundness of the final section of this post. More on this

Related to: Confidence levels inside and outside an argument, Making your explicit reasoning trustworthy A mode of reasoning that sometime

Back in April 2010 Robin Hanson wrote a post titled Homo Hypocritus Signals. Hal Finney wrote a comment This reasoning does offer an expl

A few months back somebody posted an article by a scientist giving lower and upper bounds on the probability of superintelligence. He broke

John Baez's This Week's Finds (Week 311) [Part 1; added for convenience following Nancy Lebovitz's comment] John Baez's This Week's Finds