MichaelBishop

MichaelBishop

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The Value of Uncertainty Reduction - references to academic literature appreciated

My intuition (probably widely shared) suggests that uncertainty about the future is stress inducing and reducing uncertainty about the futur

Seeking examples of people smarter than me who got hung up

I'm looking for historical examples of scientists who were a) very intelligent and still b) continued to put themselves behind a theory in

Test your forecasting ability, contribute to the science of human judgment

As XFrequentist mentioned last August, "Intelligence Advanced Research Project Activity (IARPA) with the goal of improving forecasting metho

Software for Critical Thinking, Prof. Geoff Cumming

Prof. Geoff Cumming has done some interesting work. Of particular relevance to the LW community, he has studied software for enhancing crit