LESSWRONG

I started this as a comment on "Being half wrong about pascal's wager is even worse" but its really long, so I'm posting it in discussion in

So someone told me that Eliezer Yudkowsky predicted no 5 sigma evidence of the higgs boson, and that 6 sigma evidence had been found. A quic

saw this on reddit. Thought people here would be interested.   http://medicaldaily.com/news/20120411/9496/alcohol-solving-skills-analyti