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(x-posted from my blog)   Some people think that the problem with representativeness heuristic is a base rate neglect. I hold that this is

Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow: bayes, language and psychology, now with homework WHEN: 04 January 2015 03:00:00PM (+0400)

(followup to What Bayesianism has taught me? and Bayesianism for Humans, relevant to Boring Advice Repository )   There are two insights

(followup to What Bayesianism has taught me? and Bayesianism for Humans) There are two insights from Bayesianism which occurred to me an

In the chapter 5 of the Probability Theory: Logic of Science you can read about so-called device of imaginary results which seems to go back

http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/163nqk/nate_silver_is_doing_an_ama_tuesday_at_2_pm/ I'm really excited to see this. Nate Silver migh

At my English class everybody was supposed to make a short presentation about subject of one's choice. I decided to tell people about Cox's

The road to the truth is paved with revelations; sometimes those revelations are uncomfortable. Also, you can never go back; it is impossibl

Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow 11 February meetup WHEN: 11 February 2012 06:00:00PM (+0400) WHERE: Mayakovskaya (Subway

WHEN: 11 February 2012 06:00:00PM (Moscow time) WHERE: Place is yet to be determined; I hope this issue will be dealt with tomorrow.